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CBS4 Pres. Poll Finds Fla. A Statistical Dead Heat

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Sep 29, 2008 10:01 am US/Eastern

CBS4 Pres. Poll Finds Fla. A Statistical Dead Heat

McCain leads Obama by 1 percent

Inside the poll's margin of error

MIAMI (CBS4) ― After two weeks of turmoil on the markets, and the first presidential debate last Friday, Republican presidential nominee John McCain has a one-point lead over Democratic nominee Barack Obama in Florida, according to a new CBS4/SurveyUSA poll. The small lead is well within the survey's margin of error.

48 percent support Republican John McCain's bid for President, while 47 percent support Democrat Barack Obama. What could be the most significant point for both campaigns is there are virtually no undecided voters left. Only 2 percent of those surveyed had not selected a candidate.

Compared to just 10 days ago, Southeast Florida continues to tilt further for Senator Obama. The Democratic nominee leads McCain by 22 points in southeast Florida, which includes Miami and Fort Lauderdale.

Senator McCain has lost 11 points among male voters in Florida. McCain had led Senator Obama among men by 10 points, but he now trails Obama by one point in the demographic. McCain has also lost 10 points in the Tampa area, where he now leads Obama by only 4 percent.

Central Florida, including Orlando, has seen a significant tilt towards Senator McCain. The race was a dead heat in this area, but McCain has now pulled out to a 14-point lead in the area.

Among low-income voters, Obama has now pulled out to a 10-point lead. And perhaps most disturbing for the McCain campaign, Senator Obama has erased 16 points off of Senator McCain's 24-point lead among voters older than Senator McCain.

(© MMIX, CBS Broadcasting Inc. All Rights Reserved.)

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